Daily analysis by FXOpen

[Farabot]

#MarketNews

FED EXPECTEDLY APPROVES 0.25% RATE HIKE, PLANS 7 MORE HIKES IN 2022

The operation had been planned before the war. By the end of 2023, the Fed rate may rise to 2.8%.

After the news report was released, Powell held a press conference. The Fed head radiated optimism, drawing attention to the strong labor market. Judging by the growth of stock prices, investors trusted the Fed's confidence and ability to control the situation.

Historically, every monetary tightening cycle leading to yield curve inversions has driven the US into a recession in 1-3 years.

Bank of America analysts say that the Fed is ready to sacrifice the growth of the stock market to stop inflation.

Lest we forget about the important factor of geopolitics. The US has been distancing itself from hostilities in Ukraine. Part of the European capital may flow into the shares of American companies.

On the chart, we can observe some hints at strength. Note that the S&P 500 did not fall to the lower border of the AB channel (circled). This means that the downstream channel is losing its relevance. A bullish triple bottom pattern is forming on the chart along with the support level of $4,150, and in case of a breakdown of the B resistance line (which may happen in the coming sessions), we may see a rally.

Be would recommend remaining watchful while waiting for the reports on the British pound and the euro.

To benefit from quote fluctuations in the currency and stock markets, consider enlisting the services of a reliable broker like FXOpen. (https://www.fxopen.com/en/)

This forecast represents FXOpen Markets Limited opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Markets Limited products and services or as financial advice


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[Farabot]

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Eye Additional Upsides

AUD/USD started a fresh increase above the 0.7300 zone. NZD/USD is also showing positive signs and there was a clear move above the 0.6850 resistance.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

• The Aussie Dollar started a fresh increase after it cleared 0.7250 against the US Dollar.
  
• There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 0.7235 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
  
• NZD/USD also climbed higher after forming a base above the 0.6720 level.
  
• There was a move above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.6775 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

The Aussie Dollar found support near the 0.7180 zone against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair traded as low as 0.71654 on FXOpen before it started a fresh increase.

There was a clear move above the 0.7220 and 0.7250 resistance levels. The pair surged above the 0.7320 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 0.7235 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.

AUD/USD Hourly Chart

The pair even broke the 0.7380 resistance zone and traded as high as 0.7393. It is now consolidating gains below 0.7350. On the downside, an initial support is near the 0.7345 level. The 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7205 swing low to 0.7393 high is also near the 0.7245 level.

The next support could be the 50 hourly simple moving average or 0.7300. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7205 swing low to 0.7393 high.

If there is a downside break below the 0.7300 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.7250 level. Any more downsides might send the pair toward the 0.7200 level.

On the upside, the AUD/USD pair is facing resistance near the 0.7395 level. The next major resistance is near the 0.7400 level. A close above the 0.7400 level could start a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.7450.

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[Farabot]

GBP/USD and GBP/JPY Remain Well Supported

GBP/USD started a fresh increase from the 1.3000 support zone. GBP/JPY is also rising and might gain pace above the 157.20 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY

• The British Pound started a fresh increase from the 1.3000 support zone against the US Dollar.
  
• There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3145 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  
• GBP/JPY also started a fresh increase after it cleared the 155.00 resistance zone.
  
• There is a short-term rising channel forming with support near 156.65 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

After forming a base above the 1.3000 support zone, the British Pound found started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair gained pace above the 1.3120 resistance zone to move into a positive zone.

There was also a break above the 1.3150 zone and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It even spiked above the 1.3200 level, but failed to continue higher. The recent high was formed near 1.3196 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting lower.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

There was a move below the 1.3175 level. The pair even traded below the 38.2% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3110 low to 1.3196 high.

It is now approaching the 1.3150 support zone. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.3145 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3110 low to 1.3196 high.

The next major support is near the 1.3110 level. If there is a break below the 1.3110 support, the pair could test the 1.3050 support. If there are additional losses, the pair could decline towards the 1.3000 level.

If there is a fresh increase, the pair could test the 1.3190 level. The next major hurdle is near 1.3200, above which the pair could surge towards 1.3250 in the near term.

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[Farabot]

#MarketNews #META

FACEBOOK AND INSTAGRAM BANNED IN RUSSIA

A court in Moscow has banned Facebook and Instagram under the “extremism" law.

The decision is subject to immediate execution, so Roskomnadzor has already blocked Facebook and imposed a ban on Instagram, although social networks have partially been blocked before.

According to Russia's Prosecutor General's Office, Facebook and Instagram have:

• ignored the demands to remove “fakes" about Russia's "special operation" in Ukraine
• allowed publication of calls for unsanctioned rallies;
• put both individuals and society as a whole in danger by allowing calls for murder.

The decision does not apply to WhatsApp messenger. There is no penalty prescribed for Russian citizens who will find a way to circumvent the ban.

If this development does harm the value of FB shares, it is unlikely to be critical. On the one hand, the ban may be temporary. On the other hand, FB shares are being supported by a multi-year uptrend line (1).

This may be a good time for a long-term investment. According to TipRanks, most analysts give FB stock a BUY recommendation with an average target price of around $325 (the shares closed yesterday on Nasdaq at 211.49).

To invest in FB, consider enlisting the services of a reliable broker like FXOpen. (https://www.fxopen.com/en/)

This forecast represents FXOpen Markets Limited opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Markets Limited products and services or as financial advice.


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[Farabot]

EUR/USD Faces Hurdle, USD/CHF Could Gain Pace

EUR/USD is facing resistance near the 1.1050 and 1.1080 levels. USD/CHF could gain pace if there is a move above the 0.9375 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF

• The Euro started a downside correction from the 1.1140 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
  
• There is a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1040 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  
• USD/CHF formed a base above the 0.9300 support zone and corrected higher.
  
• There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 0.9330 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro gained pace above the 1.1000 resistance level against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair even gained pace above the 1.1100 resistance level.

It traded as high as 1.1139 on FXOpen before the pair started a downside correction. There was a sharp decline below the 1.1100 and 1.1020 support levels. The pair even spiked below 1.1000 and traded as low as 1.0916.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

EUR/USD is now rising and trading above 1.1000. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.1071 swing high to 1.0961 low.

It is now consolidating above the 1.1020 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.1040 level. There is also a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1040 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.

The next major resistance is near the 1.1070 zone. A clear upside break above the 1.1070 zone could open the doors for a steady move. The next major resistance sits near the 1.1140 level.

On the downside, an immediate support is near the 1.1015 level. The next major support is near the 1.0950 level. A downside break below the 1.0950 support could start another decline.

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[Farabot]

ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 24th MAR, 2022

ETHUSD: Double Bottom Pattern Above $2,800

Ethereum continues its upwards momentum from last week and has managed to cross the $3,000 levels in today’s European trading session.

The continued appreciation in the price of ETHUSD is a result of an increased demand for holding ETH amid its transition to ETH 2.0.

In today’s early Asian trading session, Ethereum touched an intraday high of $3,078 and an intraday low of $2,972.

We can clearly see a double bottom pattern above the $2,800 handle, which is bullish, and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just below its pivot level of $3,055 and moving within a bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is testing its classic resistance level of $3,067 and Fibonacci resistance level of $3,079 after which the path towards $3,200 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 57 indicating a STRONG demand for Ethereum and the continuation of buying pressure in the markets.

All of the technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY market signal.

All of the moving averages are giving a BUY signal, and we are now looking at the levels of $3,200 to $3,300 in the short-term range.

ETH is now trading above both its 100 hourly and 200 hourly simple moving averages.

• Ether continues its bullish momentum above the $2,800 mark
• The short-term range appears to be strongly BULLISH
• The daily RSI is above 50 at 61, indicating a BULLISH market
• The average true range is indicating LESSER market volatility
  • 
    Ether Continues Bullish Momentum Above $2,800
    
    
    
    
    
    ETHUSD has gained a strong bullish momentum with the price trading above the $3,000 handle in the European trading session today.
    
    We can see continued gains in the prices of Ethereum since it touched a low of $2,171 on January 24th, which translates to a gain of 39% in 2 months.
    
    Ethereum is now moving in a bullish continuation pattern which indicates further appreciation in the prices of ETHUSD this week.
    
    ETHUSD is now facing its immediate resistance level of $3,070, after which we will see a linear progression towards $3,200.
    
    This week’s key support level to watch is $3,000, and key resistance level is $3,100.
    
    ETH has gained 3.06% with a price change of 90.27$ in the past 24hrs, and has a trading volume of 17.442 billion USD.
    
    We can see a 25.59% increase in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs. as more long-term investors are coming back into the markets.
    
    The Week Ahead
    
    At present, Ethereum bulls have managed to push the prices of ETHUSD above $3,000. If the price of ETHUSD remains above these levels, we may see a linear progression towards $3,200 and $3,300 this week.
    
    The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned strongly BULLISH, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook for Ether is NEUTRAL in present market conditions.
    
    This week, Ether is expected to move in a range between $3,000 and $3,200, and next week, Ether is expected to enter a consolidation phase above $3,200.
    
    ETH 2.0
    
    Ethereum is to enter into a proof-of-stake consensus mechanism which will eliminate the high energy mining requirements and also bring down the ETH transaction fees.
    
    This Ethereum 2.0 upgrade will happen in phases. The final transition will reduce the total energy requirements by 99% and at the same time scale the network capacity by increasing the number of transactions to 100,000 transactions per second (TPS). In comparison, at present, the leading payment service network VISA can process up to 65,000 TPS.
    
    Technical Indicators:
    
    The moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 15.93 indicating a BUY
    
    The ultimate oscillator: at 54.44 indicating a BUY
    
    Rate of price change: at 2.514 indicating a BUY
    
    The Williams percent range: at -31.74 indicating a BUY
    Read more...
    
    
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[Farabot]

Gold Price and Crude Oil Price Eye Additional Gains

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $1,950 resistance. Crude oil price could regain traction if it stays above the $105 support zone.

Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

• Gold price started a fresh increase above $1,930 and $1,950 against the US Dollar.
  
• There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $1,932 on the hourly chart of gold.
  
• Crude oil price also started a fresh increase from the $95 support zone.
  
• Recently, there was a break below a major bullish trend line with support near $113.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price formed a support base near $1,910 and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The price gained pace for a move above the $1,930 level to move into a positive zone.

There was a clear move above the $1,950 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The price even climbed above the $1,960 resistance level. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $1,932 on the hourly chart of gold.

Gold Price Hourly Chart

A high was formed near $1,965 on FXOpen and the price is now consolidating gains. On the downside, an initial support is near the $1,958 level. The first major support is near the $1,952 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,910 swing low to $1,965 high.

The next major support is near the $1,950 level. The main support sits near the $1,938 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,910 swing low to $1,965 high.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $1,965 level. The main resistance is now forming near the $1,980 level. A close above the $1,980 level could open the doors for a steady increase towards $2,000. The next major resistance sits near the $2,030 level.

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[Farabot]

GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Remain At Risk of More Losses

GBP/USD started a fresh decline from well above the 1.3250 level. EUR/GBP is also declining and trading below the 0.8350 support zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

• The British Pound started a fresh decline from well above 1.3250 against the US Dollar.
  
• There was a break below a key contracting triangle with support near 1.3170 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  
• EUR/GBP failed to stay above 0.8380 and started a fresh decline.
  
• There was a move below a major rising channel with support near 0.8335 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound struggled to settle above the 1.3280 resistance zone against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair started a fresh decline below the 1.3250 support zone.

There was a clear move below the 1.3220 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The bears pushed the pair below the 1.3200 level. There was a break below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3120 swing low to 1.3298 high (formed on FXOpen).

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

Besides, there was a break below a key contracting triangle with support near 1.3170 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

The pair is now trading below the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3120 swing low to 1.3298 high. It seems like the pair might continue to move down towards the 1.3130 support zone.

The next major support sits near the 1.3120 level. Any more losses could lead the pair towards the 1.3050 support zone. On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.3175 level.

The next main resistance is near the 1.3185 zone (the previous support) or the 50 hourly simple moving average. A clear upside break above the 1.3185 and 1.3200 resistance levels could open the doors for a steady increase in the near term.

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[Farabot]

BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 29th MAR 2022

BTCUSD: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Above $42,000

We can see continuous appreciation in the price of BTCUSD from last week, and today it has managed to cross the $47,000 handle in the European trading session.

Due to increased buying pressure, the price of bitcoin has been rising for 7 consecutive days, and the upwards growth also suggests that we are aiming for the level of $50,000.

The strong wave of this bullish trend continues, with the price of bitcoin trading above the $47,500 mark in the European trading session today.

We can clearly see a bullish engulfing pattern above the $42,000 handle, which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

The Stoch and Williams percent range are indicating an overbought level, which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 57 indicating a STRONG demand for bitcoin at the current market levels.

Bitcoin is now moving above its 100 hourly simple moving average, and its 200 hourly exponential MA.

All of the major technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of 46,000 and 48,000.

The average true range is indicating LESSER market volatility with a strongly bullish momentum.

• A bullish continuation pattern is seen above $42,000
• The StochRSI is indicating an OVERSOLD level
• The price is now trading just below its pivot levels of $47,585
• All of the moving averages are giving a STRONG BUY market signal

Bitcoin: Bullish Continuation Pattern Seen Above $42,000

Bitcoin continues to move in a strong bullish momentum with an upwards projection towards the level of $48,000 in the European trading session today.

In the immediate short term, we are expecting a continuation of this bullish trend with the price ranging between $46,000 and $49,000 as it is due to enter into a consolidation phase.

We can see optimism among bitcoin traders, as it has managed to continue its upwards trend in the short-term range.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is strongly bullish, the medium-term outlook is bullish, and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of 47,668 and Fibonacci resistance level of 47,726, after which the path towards 48,000 will get cleared.

We can see that the daily RSI is printing at 70 which indicates that in the medium-term prices are expected to appreciate further.

In the last 24hrs BTCUSD has gone UP by 1.39% with a price change of 653$, and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 35.173 billion. We can see an increase of 2.78% in the trading volume as compared to yesterday, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

The price of bitcoin is due to enter a consolidation phase below the level of $48,000. We can see some range-bound movement in its levels between $46,000 to $48,000.

On January 24th bitcoin touched a low of $32,950, after which it has managed to rise by more than 41% to its current market level of $47,456.

In the immediate short term, bitcoin’s bullish momentum is expected to continue pushing its levels above the $48,000 handle this week. The price of BTCUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $45,000.

The weekly outlook is projected at $49,000 with a consolidation zone of $46,500.

Technical Indicators:

The relative strength index (14-day): at 56.33 indicating a BUY

The average directional change (14-day): at 29.23 indicating a BUY

Bull/Bear power(13-day): at 72.28 indicating a BUY

The moving averages convergence divergence (12,26): at 275.90 indicating a BUY

Read more...


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[Farabot]

EUR/USD Attempts Recovery While USD/JPY Trims Gains

EUR/USD started a fresh increase from the 1.0940 support zone. USD/JPY rallied above 124.50 before it faced sellers near 125.00.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY

• The Euro started an upside correction from the 1.0940 zone.
  
• There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1025 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  
• USD/JPY started a strong upward move above the 122.00 and 123.50 resistance levels.
  
• Recently, there was a move below a major bullish trend line with support near 123.00 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the Euro started saw bearish moves below the 1.1050 level against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair declined heavily below the 1.1000 support zone.

The pair even broke the 1.0980 level and settled below the 50 hourly simple moving average. A low was formed near 1.0944 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting higher. There was a move above the 1.1000 resistance levels.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near 1.1025 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. The pair climbed above the 1.1050 resistance and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

It formed a high near 1.1136 and is currently consolidating gains. It tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 1.0944 swing low to 1.1136 high.

An immediate support is near the 1.1080. The next major support is near 1.1040 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent increase from the 1.0944 swing low to 1.1136 high, below which the pair could drop to 1.1000 in the near term.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1120 level. The next major resistance is near the 1.1140 level. The main resistance is near the 1.1150 level. An upside break above 1.1150 could set the pace for a steady increase.

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[Farabot]

#MarketNews

CAN QUANTUM COMPUTERS BECOME A DANGER TO THE CRYPTO WORLD?

There is an opinion among crypto investors that quantum computers with unprecedented computing power will be able to pick up access to wallets and bring down the entire cryptocurrency system in the future. How true is that?

Sankar Das Sarma, director of a research center at the University of Maryland, published an article in the MIT Tech Review, suggesting that, while the current state of the technology is an amazing scientific achievement, it is still too far from developing a quantum computer that would be able to cause any problems.

Although Sarma has not sounded the alarm, he noted that a real quantum computer will have applications unimaginable today. Similarly, no one could have predicted that the first transistor, made in 1947, would lead to the invention of laptops and smartphones.

If the threat from quantum computers becomes real, countermeasures will certainly be invented for it. Last month, JP Morgan conducted a study on a blockchain network with QKD key distribution that is resistant to potential quantum computing attacks. Previously, Xx labs launched a blockchain claiming it to be a quantum-resistant and privacy-focused blockchain ecosystem.

Therefore, there is no real threat, at least in the foreseeable future.

Meanwhile, the bitcoin rate is trying to fix above the level of 45.5k. Line B, parallel to line A, is now serving as resistance. Notice the increased volume in recent days (1) and the prominent upper candlestick wicks. If the volumes represent buying from those who decided to join the rally after breaking through the 45.5k level, then this buying did not bring results, which is a bearish sign. Therefore, a downside momentum testing the 45.5k level, or even further lowering the rate before attempting to break through line B, will not come as a surprise.

A short-term bearish scenario is not everyone's concern. Mike Alfred, the founder of BrightScope and Digital Assets Data, tweeted: “If bitcoin ends up worth $4 million, why worry when it once again tests the $44,000 level?”

To invest in cryptocurrency assets, consider enlisting the services of a reliable broker like FXOpen. (https://www.fxopen.com/en/)

This forecast represents FXOpen Markets Limited opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Markets Limited products and services or as financial


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[Farabot]

Gold Price Could Rally While Oil Price Extends Decline

Gold price started a fresh increase above the $1,920 resistance. Crude oil price is declining and remains at a risk of more losses below $97.50


Important Takeaways for Gold and Oil

• Gold price started a fresh increase above $1,910 and $1,920 against the US Dollar.
  
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,942 on the hourly chart of gold.
  
• Crude oil price started a fresh declined below the $105 support zone.
  
• There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $102.50 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

Gold price formed a support base near $1,890 and started a fresh increase against the US Dollar. The price gained pace for a move above the $1,900 level to move into a positive zone.

There was a clear move above the $1,920 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The price even climbed above the $1,932 resistance level. However, it faced resistance near the $1,948 and $1,950 levels.

Gold Price Hourly Chart

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $1,942 on the hourly chart of gold. A high is formed near $1,949 and the price is now consolidating gains.

It tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,890 swing low to $1,949 high. On the downside, an initial support is near the $1,992 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The next major support is near the $1,925 level.

The main support sits near the $1,920 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,890 swing low to $1,949 high.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $1,948 level. The main resistance is now forming near the $1,950 level. A close above the $1,950 level could open the doors for a steady increase towards $1.980. The next major resistance sits near the $2,000 level.

Read more...


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[Farabot]

GBP/USD and USD/CAD Face Key Hurdles

GBP/USD is struggling below the 1.3200 resistance. USD/CAD is rising, but it must clear 1.2530 to start a fresh increase in the near term.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD

• The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.3240 resistance zone.
  
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3140 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  
• USD/CAD is rising and showing positive signs above the 1.2500 level.
  
• There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2505 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The British Pound started a strong decline from well above 1.3320 against the US Dollar. The GBP/USD pair gained bearish momentum after there was a break below the 1.3250 support.

The pair even broke the 1.3200 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Finally, there was a move below the 1.3100 support. A low was formed near 1.3051 on FXOpen and the pair is now correcting losses.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

The recent swing low was near 1.3086 and the pair is now consolidating. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3175 swing high to 1.3086 low.

An immediate resistance is near the 1.3130 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3175 swing high to 1.3086 low. Besides, there is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3140 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.

The next major resistance is near the 1.3150 level. Any more gains could lead the pair towards the 1.3200 barrier in the near term.

If not, the pair could continue to move down and might even break the 1.3050 support. If there is a downside break, GBP/USD might test the 1.3000 support. The next major support sits at 1.2950.

Read more...

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[Farabot]

Fed Plans To Accelerate Monetary Tightening. Is It a Good Time To Buy US Dollars?/b]

The currency market moves mainly on the interest rate differential between various central banks around the world. The Federal Reserve of the United States is the most influential central bank, as it sets the rates over the world’s reserve currency.

In April, the Fed began a tightening cycle. It hiked the federal funds rate by 25bp in light of rising inflation and strong economic growth. Moreover, it warned that it is ready to hike even more aggressively should the data support it.

Following the rate hike, the Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggested that the Fed is ready to hike the federal funds rate by 50bp at their next meeting in May. In light of rising rates in the US as the economy grows and inflation runs hot, is it a good time to buy US dollars?

US Dollar Trades With A Mixed Tone

Despite the Fed’s hawkishness, the US dollar trades with a mixed tone. On the one hand, it has gained against its European peers, such as the euro and the British pound, and against the Japanese yen. On the other hand, it trades with a weak tone against New Zealand and the Australian dollar.

Interestingly enough, the RBA and RBNZ have not raised the rates from their lower boundary. Yet, the two currencies down under are being bid against the dollar.

One explanation might be the inflation rate differential. Inflation in the US is at a four-decade high, outpacing the one in Australia and New Zealand.

As such, despite the Fed’s intentions to speed up the rate hikes, the rising inflation rate is eroding the dollar’s strength. In other words, inflation is rising much higher than the Fed is hiking the rates; thus, the US dollar remains weak against its Australian and New Zealand peers.

The conflict in Europe scared investors away from the common currency. While not declining as many have thought, the euro remains weak as investors keep selling any rally.

All in all, the US dollar remains bid against the JPY and European currencies while offered against the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Traders will find out more details about the Fed’s plans on Wednesday when the previous meeting’s minutes are scheduled for release.

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EUR/USD Faces Hurdle, USD/CHF Could Gain Pace

EUR/USD declined heavily below the 1.1000 and 1.0980 levels. USD/CHF could gain pace if there is a move above the 0.9320 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF

• The Euro started a major decline from the 1.1180 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
  
• There is a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.0925 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD.
  
• USD/CHF formed a base above the 0.9220 support zone and started a decent increase.
  
• There is a key rising channel forming with support near 0.9270 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro struggled to gain pace above the 1.1180 resistance level against the US Dollar. The EUR/USD pair started a fresh decline below the 1.1150 and 1.1100 support levels.

There was a clear move below the 1.1000 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. The pair even declined below the 1.0940 support level. It traded as low as 1.0890 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating losses.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

On the upside, an initial resistance is near the 1.0915 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0988 swing high to 1.0890 low.

The next major resistance is near the 1.0920 zone. There is also a major bearish trend line with resistance near 1.0925 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. A clear upside break above the 1.0925 zone could open the doors for a steady move.

The next major resistance sits near the 1.0940 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0988 swing high to 1.0890 low. A close above 1.0940 and 1.0950 could send EUR/USD further higher.

On the downside, an immediate support is near the 1.0890 level. The next major support is near the 1.0880 level. A downside break below the 1.0880 support could start another decline.

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ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 07th APR, 2022

ETHUSD: Double Bottom Pattern Above $3,100

Ethereum failed to continue its bullish momentum last week, and after touching a high of 3578 on April 4th, has started to decline.

Ethereum touched an intraday low of $3,143 in the Asian trading session, and an intraday high of $3,233 in the European trading session today.

We can clearly see a double bottom pattern above the $3,100 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of $3,223 and moving in a mildly bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of $3,235 and Fibonacci resistance level of $3,246, after which the path towards $3,400 will get cleared.

The relative strength index is at 44 indicating a WEAK demand for Ethereum and the move towards consolidation.

Both the StochRSI and the Williams percent range are indicating an overbought level which means that the price is due to decline further.

Most of the technical indicators are giving a STRONG BUY market signal.

Some of the moving averages are giving a BUY signal, and we are now looking at the levels of $3,400 to $3,550 in the short-term range.

ETH is now trading below both the 100 hourly and 200 hourly simple moving averages.

• A bullish reversal seen in Ether above the $3,100 mark
• The short-term range appears to be mildly BULLISH
• The daily RSI is near 50 at 53, indicating a NEUTRAL market
• The average true range is indicating LESSER market volatility

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $3,100

ETHUSD is now moving into a mildly bullish channel with the price trading above the $3,200 handle in the European trading session today.

We saw last week that the bullish move was invalidated above the $3,500 handle, and this week, we are looking at the level of $3,400. If ETH manages to cross and remain above these levels, then we can see $3,500 and $3,600 next week.

Ethereum is now slowly recovering against the US dollar, and we can see the formation of an ascending contraction triangle which means that the prices are due to break out upwards.

ETHUSD is now facing its immediate resistance levels of $3,337 and $3,417, after which we will see a linear progression towards $3,600.

The key support levels to watch are $3,175 and $3,153, and the prices of ETHUSD need to remain above these levels for the bullish trend to continue.

ETH has lost -4.00% with a price change of -133.99$ in the past 24hrs, and has a trading volume of 22.874 billion USD.

We can see a 8.29% decrease in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs, which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

Last week, we saw Ethereum decline from its highs of $3,579 to the low of $3,143, but now we can see that the prices have entered into a consolidation phase above $3,200.

If the price of ETHUSD remains above $3,200, we may see a linear progression towards the level of $3,400 and $3,500 this week.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly BULLISH; the medium-term outlook has turned neutral; and the long-term outlook for Ether is NEUTRAL in present market conditions.

This week, Ether is expected to move in a range between $3,200 and $3,400, and next week, Ether is expected to enter into a consolidation phase above the level of $3,400.

On-Chain Metrics

We can see that the number of active Ethereum addresses are increasing, and it also points to an increase in the price of ETH next week.

The simple moving average (14-day) of the active receiving addresses also suggests that more buyers are now coming back into the markets, which has led to an increase in the number of Ethereum transactions

Technical Indicators:

The Stoch (9,6): at 74.29 indicating a BUY

The average directional Change (14-day): at 54.71 indicating a BUY

The commodity channel index (14-day): at 74.31 indicating a BUY

The ultimate oscillator: at 62.37 indicating a BUY

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AUD/USD and NZD/USD Turn Red, Risk of More Losses

AUD/USD gained bearish momentum below the 0.7550 support zone. NZD/USD started a major decline after it faced sellers near 0.7030.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD

• The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline after it struggled near 0.7660 against the US Dollar.
  
• There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 0.7530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
  
• NZD/USD also started a major decline after it failed to stay above 0.7000.
  
• There was a move below a key bullish trend line with support near 0.6950 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

The Aussie Dollar faced a strong selling interest near the 0.7660 level against the US Dollar. The AUD/USD pair started a major decline below the 0.7600 level.

There was a clear move below the 0.7600 and 0.7580 support levels. The pair even declined below the 0.7550 support level and the 50 hourly simple moving average. Besides, there was a break below a key bullish trend line with support near 0.7530 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.

AUD/USD Hourly Chart

The pair traded as low as 0.7466 on FXOpen and is currently consolidating losses. On the upside, the AUD/USD pair is facing resistance near the 0.7500 level.

The next major resistance is near the 0.7515 level. It is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 0.7660 swing high to 0.7466 low. The first major resistance is now forming near the 0.7550 level.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 0.7660 swing high to 0.7466 low is also near the 0.7565 level. A close above the 0.7565 level could start a steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance could be 0.7660.

On the downside, an initial support is near the 0.7460 level. The next support could be the 0.7420 level. If there is a downside break below the 0.7420 support, the pair could extend its decline towards the 0.7350 level. Any more downsides might send the pair toward the 0.7300 level.

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GBP/USD Dives While GBP/JPY Aims More Upsides

GBP/USD started another decline from well above the 1.3120 level. GBP/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 162.75 resistance zone

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY

• The British Pound started a fresh decline after it failed near 1.3150 against the US Dollar.
  
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3030 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD.
  
• GBP/JPY started a fresh increase after it cleared the 160.00 resistance zone.
  
• There is a major bullish trend line forming with support near 161.75 on the hourly chart.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

This past week, the British Pound attempted a recovery wave above the 1.3120 level against the US Dollar. However, the GBP/USD pair failed to gain strength for a move above the 1.3150 resistance.

As a result, the pair reacted to the downside and traded below the 1.3100 level. There was a clear move below the 1.3050 support and the 50 hourly simple moving average. It even spiked below 1.3000 and traded as low as 1.2982 on FXOpen.

GBP/USD Hourly Chart

It is currently attempting an upside correction above 1.3000. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3106 swing high to 1.2982 low.

However, the pair is facing a major resistance near the 1.3040 and 1.3050 levels. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3030 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD. The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.3106 swing high to 1.2982 low is also above the trend line.

The next major hurdle is near 1.3080, above which the pair could rise towards 1.3150 in the near term. If not, the pair might continue to decline below 1.3000.

The next major support is near the 1.2950 level. If there is a break below the 1.2950 support, the pair could test the 1.2880 support.

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BTCUSD and XRPUSD Technical Analysis – 12th APR 2022

BTCUSD: Double Bottom Pattern Above $39,000

Bitcoin was unable to continue its last week’s bullish momentum and started to decline after touching a high of $47,184 on April 5th.

Bitcoin broke the $40,000 support and touched a low of $36,210 in today’s Asian trading session.

The selloff continues across the crypto markets, and the global investor sentiments are low due to the continuation of the Russia-Ukraine war and its emerging impacts on the prices of energy and stock markets.

After falling below the $40,000 handle, bitcoin found support and has entered a mildly bullish channel in today’s European trading session.

We can clearly see a double bottom pattern above the $39,000 handle which is a bullish reversal pattern because it signifies the end of a downtrend and a shift towards an uptrend.

The Stoch and the Williams percent range are indicating an overbought level which means that in the immediate short term, a decline in the prices is expected.

The relative strength index is at 43 indicating a WEAK demand for bitcoin at the current market levels.

Bitcoin is now moving below its 100 hourly simple moving average and its 200 hourly exponential moving average.

Most of the major technical indicators are giving a BUY signal, which means that in the immediate short term, we are expecting targets of $41,000 and $43,000.

The average true range is indicating LESSER market volatility with a mild bullish momentum.

• Bullish reversal seen in bitcoin above $39,000
• The StochRSI is indicating an OVERSOLD level
• The price is now trading just above its pivot level of $40,236
• Some of the moving averages are giving a BUY market signal

Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $39,000


Bitcoin continues to move in a mildly bullish momentum with an upwards projection towards the level of $41,000 in the European trading session today.

In the immediate term, we are expecting a continuation of this bullish trend with the price of bitcoin ranging between the levels of $42,000 and $44,000 as it has entered into a consolidation phase now.

The drop in the level of BTCUSD that we saw last week was due to the profit-taking by the short-term investors.

The immediate short-term outlook for bitcoin is mildly bullish; the medium-term outlook is neutral; and the long-term outlook remains neutral under present market conditions.

The price of BTCUSD is now facing its classic resistance level of $40,336 and Fibonacci resistance level of $40,454, after which the path towards $41,000 will get cleared.

We can see that the daily RSI is below 50 printing at 38 which indicates that in the medium-term prices are expected to decline further.

In the last 24hrs, BTCUSD has gone down by 3.17% with a price change of -$1319, and has a 24hr trading volume of USD 36.665 billion. We can see an Increase of 60.52% in the trading volume as compared to yesterday, which is due to the selling by the long-term Investors.

The Week Ahead

The price of bitcoin is now moving in a consolidation phase above the level of $40,000. We can see some range-bounded movements between $41,000 and $43,000.

If the prices of bitcoin continue to remain above the important psychological support level of $40,000, next week, we may see some correction in the midrange upwards towards the $42,000 handle.

In the immediate short term, bitcoin’s mildly bullish momentum is expected to continue pushing to above the $41,000 handle this week.

The price of BTCUSD will need to remain above the important support level of $40,000 this week.

The weekly outlook is projected at $42,000 with a consolidation zone of $41,500.

BTC Market Cap

Due to the weak global investor sentiments coupled with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and the rising inflation, the BTC market cap has fallen down below $800 billion.

The present total market capitalization of bitcoin stands at $764 billion.


Technical Indicators:

The average directional change (14-day): at 44.90 indicating a BUY

The ultimate oscillator: at 62.26 indicating a BUY

Bull/Bear power (13-day): at 227.32 indicating a BUY

The rate of price change: at 0.88 indicating a BUY

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EUR/USD Remains At Risk While EUR/JPY Eye More Gains

EUR/USD started a fresh decline from the 1.0940 resistance. EUR/JPY could gain pace if it clears the 136.30 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

• The Euro failed to clear the 1.0940 resistance and started a fresh decline.
  
• It broke a key contracting triangle with support near 1.0880 on the hourly chart.
  
• EUR/JPY gained bullish momentum after it broke the 135.50 resistance zone.
  
• Recently, there was a break below a major bullish trend line with support near 136.50 on the hourly chart.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The Euro made a couple of attempts to clear the 1.0940 resistance zone against the US Dollar. However, the EUR/JPY pair failed to gain strength above 1.0940 and started a fresh decline.

The pair declined below the 1.0900 support and the 50 hourly simple moving average. There was also a break below a key contracting triangle with support near 1.0880 on the hourly chart. The pair even moved below the 1.0840 support level.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

A low is formed near 1.0811 on FXOpen and the pair is now consolidating losses. It corrected above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0903 high to 1.0811 low.

On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 1.0850 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 1.0903 high to 1.0811 low. The next major resistance is near the 1.0865 level and the 50 hourly simple moving average.

A clear break above the 1.0865 resistance could push EUR/USD towards 1.0900. If the bulls remain in action, the pair could rise revisit the 1.0940 resistance zone in the near term.

On the downside, the pair might find support near the 1.0820 level. If there is a downside break below the 1.0820 support, the pair might accelerate lower. The next major support sits near the 1.0765 level, below which there is a risk of a larger decline.


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